Daily Recap — September 19

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TRUMP IN THE CAROLINAS

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One of PDT’s most underrated qualities as president has been his ability to handle natural disasters. Puerto Rican propaganda aside, the federal response to the steady stream of large storms we’ve endured since he took office has been better than any administration in recent memory, certainly over the last 20 years.

He’s continuing that exemplary record with Florence.

He toured the Carolinas today to survey the wreckage and rampant flooding in the hurricane’s wake, praising rescue efforts and meeting victims of the devastating storm.

“In moments of despair, we’ve witnessed the true character of the American people. Citizens all across our country rallied to rescue the stranded, to protect the innocent and to restore hope to families who’ve experienced tremendous and unbearable loss,” he said during a briefing at Marine Corps Air Station Cherry Point in Havelock, NC.

Later, he said, “Washington is with you, Trump is with you. Anything I can do, you all know where to call me.”

PDT also offered hearty praise to “the incredible first responders, including sheriffs, police officers, firefighters, our great ‘Cajun Navy,’ ” For those unfamiliar, the Cajun Navy is a group of private boat owners who assist officials in search-and-rescue efforts. They were first formed in Louisiana in 2005 after Hurricane Katrina and have been helping people in need ever since. They truly are great people.

“What they’ve done to save precious lives of our citizens has been nothing short of incredible.”


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The day also contained some hard truths, I’m afraid, as PDT warned that the hardest work is yet to come as floodwaters recede and communities start to rebuild amid an estimated $20 billion in damages.

“Some of the hardest work is taking place right now, even though it’s nice and beautiful and sunny,” he said.

Amid the somber reassurances, there were some classic Trumpian moments. During the briefing, he asked a state official, “How is Lake Norman doing?”

Assured that it was doing fine, he replied, “I love that area. I can’t tell you why, but I love that area.”

Hint: He owns the Trump National Golf Club on the shores of Lake Norman near Charlotte.


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As #YourFavoritePresident walked along, an elderly man told him, “I named my dog after you.”

“That’s nice!” replied the president, probably not sure exactly what to say since he’s very much not a pet person.

Later, after glad-handing and distributing food to people at the Temple Baptist Church, he greeted an older homeowner in a T-shirt near where a yacht that had washed ashore was perched against the man’s deck.

Trump gazed at the yacht then asked, “Is this your boat?”

The homeowner said it was not.

Trump turned and replied with smile, “At least you got a nice boat out of the deal.”

Trump said later the homeowner told him his insurance company didn’t want to pay for the damage to his house.

“We’re going to find out the name of the insurance company,” het said before marveling again at the shipwreck.

“I think it’s incredible what we’re seeing. This boat just came here. They don’t know whose boat that is. What’s the law? Maybe it becomes theirs.”

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PDT was joined by Dim North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper, Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen and other federal, state and local officials before departing for my native stomping grounds in South Carolina later in the afternoon.

After a briefing by state and local officials at the Horry County Emergency Operations Center in Conway, he spent a few minutes speaking to residents bracing for more flooding as rivers crested.

The crowd cheered as he said federal help would be coming.

Some 20,000 federal employees have been mobilized to assist with the recovery, including FEMA teams, the Coast Guard and the Army Corp of Engineers.

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BIG PICTURE:

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Things are going to get worse in the Carolinas before they get better. 

The latest data from the National Weather Service and the Southeast Regional River Forecast Center indicates that the Intracoastal Waterway will continue to rise to historic levels. The latest forecast shows the level in the Waterway far exceeding the levels experienced following Hurricane Matthew, where water levels reached 19.23 feet.  The forecast is for the Waterway to reach 23 to 24 feet by September 28th. The Waterway is also forecast to surpass the Matthew record of 23.7 feet for the Waterway near Bucksport on September 28th. 

That is just one forecast near my family’s area. By the grace of God, they’ve been spared much of the misery being experienced by their neighbors.

I wanted to write this piece to show that, despite what the media portray all day every day, the American people don’t hate this president. The good, decent, salt of the Earth types love him, actually, and he returns the favor.

Watching those people cheer as he spoke today just minutes from my hometown gave me a new sense of hope, because that’s exactly what I saw in that audience. They knew that he wasn’t just pumping sunshine; that he would truly make sure that they received the best possible response the government could offer, even though, as always, it would be the People themselves who helped the most.

He’s a truly American president, and days like this remind me of how fortunate we are to have him.

Good job, Mr. President.

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TRUMP VS. CHINA, CONTINUED

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China has hit back against the recent $200 billion in tariffs levied by PDT by announcing new tariffs of their own to the tune $60 billion of US goods.

PDT said his latest round of tariffs were merely in response to China’s unfair trade practices.

“We have been very clear about the type of changes that need to be made, and we have given China every opportunity to treat us more fairly. But, so far, China has been unwilling to change its practices,” he said.

China’s tariffs are anything but random, as they follow the established pattern of targeting the Trump voting base. The latest and most egregious example is China’s targeting of goods such as liquefied natural gas, produced in Trump-loyal states.

PDT is hip to their game, to be sure, and threw out a warning shot at Twitter:

“There will be great and fast economic retaliation against China if our farmers, ranchers and/or industrial workers are targeted!” he said.

Ohhhhhh snap.

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The Details:

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The Chinese commerce ministry said it would impose its tariffs on September 24 – the date the US duties come into effect – but at lower rates than previously expected.

It will place an additional 5% in duty on US products including smaller aircraft, computers and textiles, and an extra 10% on goods such as chemicals, meat, wheat and wine.

By contrast, the US duties will apply to almost 6,000 items, making them the biggest round of trade tariffs yet from The Donald.

They will affect handbags, rice and textiles, although some items such as smart watches and high chairs have been exempted. They will start at 10% and increase to 25% from the start of next year unless the two countries agree a deal.

Some of the sharpest pain felt on our end, though, could come from the auto industry.

Just as we’ve done to them, the Chinese will impose a 10% tariff to be applied to the U.S. this month. That will increase to 25% on Chinese goods starting Jan. 1. That’s just for parts, not the full cost of a vehicle.

While vehicle sticker prices won’t go up a full 25%, the rising prices will be a gut punch of sorts to an industry already experiencing declining sales.

The auto tariff list covers literally everything that goes into the construction of an automobile, from the smallest components and material inputs like the cords in tires and shafts and gears and bearings all the way up to completed engines and in some cases chassis with engines mounted.

Make no mistake — China is trying to hurt us. The question is, how deeply will that hurt be felt?

According to the National Automobile Dealers Association NADA, an industry analysis outlined a scenario where a 25% tariff would increase the price of the typical vehicle sold in the US by about $4,400.

That….is not chump change. Not to this writer, anyway.

The NADA also commissioned a study by the Center for Automotive Research that found a 25% tariff would result in:

  • 2 million fewer new vehicles sold per year.
  • Total U.S. employment losses of nearly 714,700, and GDP losses of $59.2 billion.
  • A loss of 117,500 of 1.1 million U.S. new-car dealership jobs, with the average franchised dealership losing seven jobs.
  • An increase in used car prices due to heightened demand and constricted supply.
  • Increases in the cost of vehicle maintenance and repair due to higher automotive parts prices, “so even holding on to an existing vehicle will become more expensive.”

Bear in mind, I’m far from an economist and can offer no thorough analysis of these numbers. I’m merely relaying the best of my research. If it makes you feel any better, the doom and gloom that was supposed to hit us already has been decidedly overblown. Let’s hope that trend continues.

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The Good News:

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Despite all the bullets flying overhead, we’re still in a better position than China.

This is a really complicated issue, so I’ll put it in the simplest terms possible. China’s economy exports more than the US and is thus positioned to take a much bigger hit from a trade war. Basically, if you put tariffs across the board on both countries, it’s a four times bigger hit to China because they export four times as much as they import.

Simple enough, right? I don’t know, my eyes are still bleeding.

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BIG PICTURE:

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Despite our being in a better position than them in the long run, China isn’t gonna take its foot off the gas anytime soon.

They hope to be able to inflict enough pain on our country to get PDT to back down before their own economy begins its free fall collapse. They do have an inherent advantage in this area. While there are small semblances of democracy in China these days, the government still largely operates in spite of its people’s wishes and without regard to their welfare. That’s how an authoritarian government rolls.

Simply put, their leaders have a much larger threshold of pain for their people, because their people aren’t going to say a whole hell of a lot about it without having their dissent crushed.

PDT is going to have to communicate with the American people about what’s going on. Most people don’t follow this kind of stuff (can you blame them?) and will only notice prices going up on various items. And once that happens, they’re going to look at the Trumpster and ask what the hell is going on.

It’s incumbent upon PDT to inform the American public of the pain that could be headed down the pipe and why it’s worth it to us in the long run to hold the line. If he can articulate what’s at stake — the billions in theft of our intellectual property, devaluation of Chinese currency, etc. — it’s possible he could get people on board to stick out this fight with him. His voting base will surely be inclined to listen and give him a chance.

The Chinese are counting on that not happening. They’re betting that the American public will become discontent at the first sign of economic hardship and pressure Trump to call off the dogs long before their own country is flattened. Frankly, it’s a smart play on their end, if not the only way they can go with the hand they’ve been dealt.

 

PDT can absolutely win this, though. He’s got the economy to do it and, more importantly, he’s got the will. He’s wanted to do this since he was a young man and it’s impossible to envision him backing down.

He will, however, have to put his considerable political skills to work. Speak to the nation, Mr. President. Not from Twitter, but from the Oval Office. Explain to them why we have to take it to these cheating scumbags and how much it will benefit us in the future. Send the message to China that we’re not backing down, and their best route is to come back to the table and fix this now before it gets worse for them.

I know you can do this, PDT. We’ve got your back!

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WELL NOW, MR. ELLISON

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Whaddayaknow…..we now have far more evidence that Rep. Keith Ellison has abused women that we’ve ever had for Kavanaugh.

Karen Monahan has accused Dims of not believing her #MeToo moment, and now she is sharing medical records that corroborate her side of the story.

Monahan, the 4 trillionth woman to be abused by a Muslim man, is accusing Ellison of domestic violence and has been calling out Democrats for having a double standard on the #MeToo movement. In a Twitter exchange earlier this week, Monahan said Democrats do not believe her story, adding that she has been “smeared, threatened, isolated” from her own party since coming forward.

Now Monahan has released a medical record from 2017 that documents the physical and emotional abuse she claims to have suffered at the hands of Ellison.

The medical report from Jodi K. Milburn, MD reads in part:

“She states that she was in a very stressful environment for years, emotional and physical abuse by a partner with whom she is now separated. She did not have any physical injuries that required a physical examination in the past. She identifies the individual she was involved with as congressmen [sic] Ellison, and she is worried about retribution if she identifies him publicly.”

Monahan shared a picture of the report on Twitter, calling on Democrats to “take all abuse allegations serious.” Here is the photo:

monohan

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The Twitter exchange began over a discussion about Christine Blasey Ford, the leftist activist accusing Brett Kavanaugh of sexual misconduct during a high school party shortly after the Revolutionary War. Dims have been quick to support Ford despite the allegations lacking any real evidence and her story containing several glaring holes. However, that blind credulity hasn’t been afforded to Monahan’s claims. 

That’s a pretty potent double standard, considering Ford’s only documentary evidence are notes taken by a medical professional (therapist), except her notes don’t name Kavanaugh at all, whereas Monahan’s certainly do. That alone gives Monahan a better case. Still, at last count, a whopping 5% of Minnesota Dims believe her claims. I’m interested to see the percentage of those same Dims who believe Ford’s claims on their face.

Tribalism kills brain cells, folks.

Monahan also says she has told investigators she would be willing to talk with Ellison with them in the room. However, Ellison declined any attempt to meet.

As for the inherently believable Mrs. Ford, Sen. Grassley has given her until Friday to present her biography and prepared testimony in order to testify before the Senate Judiciary Committee on Monday. Ford continues to decline on the basis that an FBI investigation hasn’t been conducted — an excuse that hasn’t played well for her in public.

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BIG PICTURE:

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Not hard to figure this one out; Democrats are hypocrites.

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